Situational Poker Answer


Here was the situation....

Late in a 6 player SnG
Three players left, payout is two
You have 2600 chips
person to your left has 6900 chips
person to his left has 2500 chips
Blinds are 75/150, you are in Big Blind

Little bit of history before we get to this situation,
the guy to your right (two seats to your left) has been very aggressive
He bets when you don't show strength, he raises on draws.
The hand before this hand he lost a huge pot to the guy on your left when his AA was cracked by 6J.

He limps into the pot and you look down at 5c6d and check
The flop comes Kc2c6s
He bets $1000 into the pot.

What do you do?
a) put him on a better hand then you, more then likely the king and fold
b) put him on tilt figuring he has a flush draw, but fold because you are only 50/50
c) put him on tilt figuring he has a flush draw and raise all in
d) put him on an ace hoping that no-one hit the board and push all in
e) figure you have him beat but with the payout at 2 you would rather play it safe and fold

First of all, thanks for the comments guys
I ended up folding the hand. My reasoning follows some of the same line that you guys took. I was close to the money, and this wasn't the hand to gamble on. I thought I had a pretty good read on him and put him on a flush draw. The way he acted seemed like he was tilting a bit from the previous hand and wanted to get his chips back quickly, whats the best way to do that? Get all in. He bet big after the flop on a draw knowing that I would have either hit the flop hard and pushed all in, or missed it and folded. If I hit the flop hard he was at worse at 35% dog, but probably at 51% favorite (based on what cards he had, whether he had overs or not, which he probably did). The other key input that I used to make this decision was a simple one. I thought I was a better poker player then him. This is real simple but it helped me make my decision. I knew that I wasn't in immediate danger of being blinded out and that given enough hands I could put myself in a better situation against him for all his chips. If I thought he was a better player then me, my thinking might have changed. I might have thought this was going to be a coin flip and the best chance I will get, so I should take it.

Even though I folded my hand, he showed his cards (I guess to say... ha I was on a draw and you folded) and it turns out that I was right. Ac8c, he had two overs to my pair and a flush draw. He was the slight favorite there so the fold actually was the correct play.

As a small sidenote he would knock me out on the very next hand when I got all in preflop with KcKd and he hit a straight with KhQh. Whats the lesson in this? Sometimes it is best to wait for a better situation to get your money in the pot even if you think you have a pretty good read on a player, and then when you get to that better situation he still might draw out on you.